Dear Diary,
According to the UKMOUKMO The Meteorological Office is the United Kingdom's national weather service. It is an executive agency and trading fund of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy the winter of 2022-23 will basically be drier than average, less windy than average with temperatures slightly above average. Not much of a forecast really is it? Neither is it split into the three individual months, but lumps all of them together, hardly much precision in that. I’d love to know what value ‘contingency planners’ glean from this table of probabilities, in fact I’d just to love to know what they do.
Anyway I’ll keep a note of their predictions, for what they’re worth, and see how they did on the first of March 2023, that’s if I’m still around.
They look to have got off to a good start, but as they issued this outlook on the 28th of November, when the ECMWFECMWF The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts is an independent intergovernmental organisation supported by most of the nations of Europe. It is based at three sites: Shinfield Park, Reading, United Kingdom; Bologna, Italy; and Bonn, Germany. It operates one of the largest supercomputer complexes in Europe and the world's largest archive of numerical weather prediction data. model was already going for a spell of continental easterlies followed by an Arctic northerly, that was a given.
