The blog above was published on the 5th of February by the Met OfficeUKMO The Meteorological Office is the United Kingdom's national weather service. It is an executive agency and trading fund of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, it looks ill timed and a bit of a publicity disaster for both them and their GloSeason seasonal prediction system, especially with this week being exceptionally mild.
Rather than seeing a plunge of “very cold air from the Arctic”, this week has turned out to be an exceptionally mild one, both here in the UKUK The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, commonly known as the United Kingdom (UK) or Britain, is a country in Europe, off the north-western coast of the continental mainland. It comprises England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. and over a large part of NW Europe. The latest forecast 2M temperature anomaly charts from the ECMWFECMWF The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts is an independent intergovernmental organisation supported by most of the nations of Europe. It is based at three sites: Shinfield Park, Reading, United Kingdom; Bologna, Italy; and Bonn, Germany. It operates one of the largest supercomputer complexes in Europe and the world's largest archive of numerical weather prediction data. (15 February) doesn’t foresee any cold weather turning up in the next ten days either. Perhaps the very cold weather will arrive in March, who knows, the GloSeason system doesn’t seem to.
I had vaguely heard of the GloSea seasonal forecasting system before, although I have no idea where you can see output from it.