We’re getting onto halfway through winter now, and I wondered just how well the UKMOUKMO The Meteorological Office is the United Kingdom's national weather service. It is an executive agency and trading fund of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy were doing with their forecast for this winter they issued on the 25 November 2024.
Well, mean temperatures are +0.7°C above average, that’s despite the ongoing cold spell, but not as mild as the 45% on the mild side of average suggests, so 6/10.
Total rainfall also looks higher than average, and higher than forecast with all these flood alerts around at the moment. December was rather dry, particularly in the S, but a forecast of 30% on the wet side of average still looks a little too low, so maybe only 8/10 for that.
The UKMO provide no LTALTA Long Term Average. This is usually defined as a 30 year period by the WMO. for wind speed that I can find to calculate anomalies with, and surprisingly they don’t forecast sunshine, which is pretty important for the nations vitamin D3 levels. 😎
