UKP

UKP Precipitation | 6 March 2024 – 5 March 2025

The steady decline in 365 day average precipitation which started last summer, continues across the UKUK The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, commonly known as the United Kingdom (UK) or Britain, is a country in Europe, off the north-western coast of the continental mainland. It comprises England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland., with four regions now close or below the 100% POAPOA Percentage Of Average line. As recently as eight months ago the 365 day average across northeast and central England was over 155% of the annual average, now they are close to the 110% POA line. England and Wales precipitation for the last year is currently at 112% of average and has been tracking at that rate since the wet spring of 2024.

March 7, 2025

Precipitation, UKP

UKP Precipitation | 6 March 2024 – 5 March 2025 Read More »

2 February 2025 | NAO-CET-UKP

At a glance the NAONAO The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a weather phenomenon over the North Atlantic Ocean of fluctuations in the difference of atmospheric pressure at sea level (SLP) between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High. Through fluctuations in the strength of the Icelandic Low and the Azores High, it controls the strength and direction of westerly winds and location of storm tracks across the North Atlantic. over the last six months correlates well with daily mean CETCET Central England Temperature values, but UKPUKP UKP is a gridded datasets of UK regional precipitation. daily rainfall seems to have been higher when the NAO was negative. I Had to find another source to access the data, the file had disappeared from the UCARUCAR UCAR stands for University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, a non-profit organization that manages the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). UCAR is made up of more than 120 colleges and universities in North America. site for some reason.

February 7, 2025

CET, Climate, NAO, UKP

2 February 2025 | NAO-CET-UKP Read More »

Lamb Weather Types and UKP correlations

I had previously plotted correlations between LWTLWT Lamb Weather Types are often used in UK-based analyses, with individual weather patterns based on the eight primary cardinal directions (N, NE, E, SE, S, SW, W, NW) plus cyclonic (C), anticyclonic (A) and unclassified (U) types. and CETCET Central England Temperature, so the obvious thing to do now was to plot correlation charts using daily LWT types and daily rainfall from the UKPUKP UKP is a gridded datasets of UK regional precipitation. regional rainfall series, which I download from the UKMOUKMO The Meteorological Office is the United Kingdom's national weather service. It is an executive agency and trading fund of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy. It turned out to be even less exciting than a lot of the climate statistics I’ve produced before, in that it just confirmed what you could easily deduce by using a little common sense in that anticyclonic weather types are drier than cyclonic types. 🙂
Generally westerly types come in second wettest, using an average for the whole year.
Depending on what region you look at, easterly & northerly types are sometimes drier than anticyclonic types. The reason for that is that the results are likely skewed for easterly and northerly types because they occur much less frequently than do anticyclonic types.
Westerly types in Scotland (see below) seem to peak in January, at close to 2 mm per day, but fall to a low of 0.4 mm in May, again a fairly obvious correlation.

October 8, 2024

Correlations, LWT, UKP

Lamb Weather Types and UKP correlations Read More »

Latest NAO-CET-UKP

I’ve just refreshed the three graphs in an application I use to calculate a simple NAONAO The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a weather phenomenon over the North Atlantic Ocean of fluctuations in the difference of atmospheric pressure at sea level (SLP) between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High. Through fluctuations in the strength of the Icelandic Low and the Azores High, it controls the strength and direction of westerly winds and location of storm tracks across the North Atlantic. index with from gridded reanalysis MSLPMSLP Mean sea level pressure is the pressure at sea level, or, when measured at a given elevation on land, the station pressure reduced to sea level assuming an isothermal layer at the station temperature. data I download from NOAANOAA NOAA is an agency in the Department of Commerce that maps the oceans and conserves their living resources; predicts changes to the earth's environment; provides weather reports and forecasts floods and hurricanes and other natural disasters related to weather.. We still await a second major NAO event in 2024 that will hopefully break the prolonged spell of mobile and cyclonic weather we’ve been experiencing since the middle of January. Maybe this anticyclone over the UKUK The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, commonly known as the United Kingdom (UK) or Britain, is a country in Europe, off the north-western coast of the continental mainland. It comprises England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. forecast for this weekend will be the start of it. 🤨

UKP – 365 day totals

The 365 day UKPUKP UKP is a gridded datasets of UK regional precipitation. total precipitation for Central England is still at record levels (149.9% of the LTALTA Long Term Average. This is usually defined as a 30 year period by the WMO.) at the end of February 2024, as are the totals in the Northwest, Northeast & Southeast regions of England. Northern Scotland is the driest region and continues to run close to average as it’s done for the last year or more. We passed Loch Glascarnoch earlier this week on our way to Ullapool and I have never seen it as full as it is.

UKP – Running at record high levels

The 365 day UKPUKP UKP is a gridded datasets of UK regional precipitation. regional precipitation totals are running at record high levels at the moment. Never since the start of the gridded daily records in 1931 have 365 day totals been as high as they are on the 23 February 2024 for Central England, Eastern Scotland, Northern Ireland and England Wales. Anomalies for Central England for example are at 149.3% of the 1981-2010 LTALTA Long Term Average. This is usually defined as a 30 year period by the WMO.. Hopefully I’ve got all my maths and my coding right 😉

The red ringed cells mark the highest 365 day totals for this region.

Northern Scotland still has the lowest 365 day anomaly (105.2%).

North Atlantic Oscillation – A simple version

I reworked an old application last week that I use to generate a simple six hourly North Atlantic Oscillation from NCEPNCEP The United States National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) delivers national and global weather, water, climate and space weather guidance, forecasts, warnings and analyses to its Partners and External User Communities. reanalysis data that I download. It’s simple, nothing complicated using geopotential heights at 500 hPahPa A Hectopascal is the SI unit of pressure and identical to the Millibar or anything like that, just the pressure difference between 65N 25W and 37.5N 25W. A well as plotting the NAONAO The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a weather phenomenon over the North Atlantic Ocean of fluctuations in the difference of atmospheric pressure at sea level (SLP) between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High. Through fluctuations in the strength of the Icelandic Low and the Azores High, it controls the strength and direction of westerly winds and location of storm tracks across the North Atlantic. I also add charts of the daily mean anomaly from the CETCET Central England Temperature series, along with the England Wales rainfall from the daily UKPUKP UKP is a gridded datasets of UK regional precipitation. series, both of which I download from the UKMOUKMO The Meteorological Office is the United Kingdom's national weather service. It is an executive agency and trading fund of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy. As you can see in winter at least there is a strong correlation between the NAO and CET & UKP. I’ll add more viewers to examine the correlation, so much to do, and so little time, as the Joker said.

UKP: Latest regional 365 day totals

1 Jun 2022-31 May 2023 Regional UKPUKP UKP is a gridded datasets of UK regional precipitation. 365 day precipitation POAPOA Percentage Of Average

The dry last three weeks have already had a noticeable effect on the 365 day percentage of LTALTA Long Term Average. This is usually defined as a 30 year period by the WMO.. Northern Scotland is now the driest, instead of being one of the wettest regions.